Consumer Spending Drops In February, Dragging ETFs

March 13, 2008 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon

4155748394 Retail sales and exchange traded funds (ETFs) took another hit today.

The Commerce Department reported that the numbers were down by 0.6% - much worse than the expected 0.2%. The slow sales affected all corners of the market, from autos, furniture and appliances, reports Martin Crutsinger for the Associated Press.

Consumer spending makes up 71% of global domestic product (GDP), so even a slight slowdown can be felt in other parts of the economy.

Advisor Perspectives talks to Craig Johnson, CEO of Consumer Growth Practices, who remarks that while the economy has clearly softened, and housing and financial services have receded, the GDP is still not in negative territory and is not a disaster.

Johnson contends the consumer is still alive and healthy, just a bit more cautious about how much they are spending.

The numbers lag slightly and the definitions can be off. The reporting of e-commerce data is behind by a month, meaning that holiday sales reports leave out the 7% revenue from online shoppers - the fastest-growing segment.

The only reliable metric these days, according to Johnson, is an inverse relationship to the price of gasoline: as fuel prices go up, consumer sentiment goes down and vice-versa.

Retail ETFs are down in intraday trading and are off so far this year:

  • Retail HOLDRs (RTH), down 6%
  • SPDR S&P Retail (XRT), down 8.9%
  • Consumer Discretionary SPDR (XLY), down 6.9%

Z_3

Tags | , , ,

Subscribe

Enter your e-mail address below to sign up for our free e-mail newsletter, the Daily Market Update. We will never share your e-mail address with third parties.

Leave a Reply

    • Paul: looking for a vietnam etf
    • Tom Lydon: Hi Gordon, Absolutely. Commodities experienced a big correction this summer! Many of these funds have...
    • gordon smith: Even In These Markets, You Can Still Find ETF Movers and Shakers—where are we today…most...
    • Andy: You have to be careful when choosing your asset allocation. Many people are under the impression that you get...
    • Andy: There is a useful tool at http://www.assetcorrelation.co m that lets you check the degree of correlation...

Recent Podcast

Tom Lydon Talks About iMoney, ETFs and Why You Should Own Them

 
 Tom Lydon on FT Press - August 11, 2008: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download