Is The Dow ETF A Diamond In The Rough?

February 21, 2008 at 3:00 pm by Tom Lydon

3667168579 Exchange traded funds (ETFs) tracking the Dow Jones industrial average will experience a sector shift along with lesser valuation. The coming changes to the index will make it even more attractive to bullish analysts who say the 18,500 mark could be reached in three years.

On Feb. 19, Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and Chevron (CVX) joined the Dow, while Altria Group (MO) and Honeywell International Inc. (HON) were out.

John Spence for MarketWatch says that Morningstar analysts boldly predict a 50% rise in the Dow by 2011 (that’s 6,000 points) and as of Feb. 12th, the Dow was trading at a hearty 17% discount to the firm’s fair-value estimate of 14,000. The predicted jump in the index is not taking into consideration the interest rate shifts, broader economic factors and blue-chip companies that dominate the Dow to lead the market.

You can access the Dow with the Diamonds Trust (DIA), which gives access to the 30-stock, high-quality combination. This ETF is an inexpensive, flexible way to access this type of exposure.

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    • Tom Lydon: Terry, Yes, this strategy can be applied to any type of ETF. Just be aware of the heightened volatility in...
    • Isis: I think that this is wow.
    • Terry: Great article! Does the same trend strategy apply to the ETFs that short the market or sectors, such as SH?...
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    • Bill Hungate: Tom, what about the short ETF’s in a Bear market such as this? Is there any reason we...

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