Play the Oil Non-ETF Market Both Ways

January 09, 2008 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon

Elevatorarrows MacroShares Oil Up (UCR) and MacroShares Oil Down (DCR) are "paired" exchange traded securities - not exchange traded funds (ETFs). They don’t hold commodities or futures and they don’t track an index. But what does all of that mean, exactly? A lot, it turns out.

Bob Tull, head of the MacroShares division, and Sam Masucci, the company’s CEO, explained it to us. "We’re very different than an ETF," Masucci said. "If you look at the SPDR, they manage a pool of stocks to replicate the movement of the S&P."

Although they are listed on an exchange (the Amex, to be exact) and trade during normal market hours, that’s where much of the similarity ends. UCR and DCR don’t own barrels of oil and they don’t trade futures. Instead, they hold treasuries and cash. The funds are issued in pairs, meaning that authorized participants (APs) receive both of the funds in equal number. They’re then free to trade them on the secondary market.

The trustees of each fund have a "swap" agreement that as the price of oil shifts, they will move assets back and forth. For example, if oil goes up $1, that dollar is put into the up fund and taken out of the down one.

If you’re confused, view page eight of the company’s prospectus for the transaction in graphic form.

"The reason we don’t physically move cash is because it would trigger a capital gains event," Masucci says. Tull adds that this setup makes for a very tax efficient structure.

The sum of the two funds together is always $40 - one-third the price of a barrel of oil. When they initially were launched, the sum was $60, the then-price of a barrel. They found that much like investors balk at $100 oil, they weren’t too keen on spending $60, either. That led to a three-for-one split last October and each up and down became worth $20 apiece. That means the most UCR could ever be worth is $40, in which case, DCR would be worth $0.

If the fund were nearing the $0 mark, Masucci says they’d terminate the trust and give investors cash.

Further, because these funds are 1933 Act, they mature in 20 years. Since they were launched in 2006, by 2026, investors would get a return of capital the day prior to the fund’s maturity - assuming the price of oil stayed between $0 and $100.

For now, Masucci and Tull will see what the market demands. "If the market says ‘We like macros a lot,’ we’d issue an oil one that has a $100 value," Masucci says. He explains that the sum of the up/down would then be good for $0 to $200.

The ultimate idea behind the funds is to give investors access to areas that in the past were very difficult to get into, such as commodities, housing and economic indicators. The goal, Masucci says, is to "open a whole new asset class where one doesn’t exist now."

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