Chinese Economy and ETFs Still Growing

April 06, 2007 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

Cb045070 Since the correction in China’s Shanghai A Index the benchmark has escalated 28% from it’s February low and exchange traded funds (ETFs) that focus in on that market are following. Consider this: China’s economy is hot-it grew 10.7% last year. Consumer demand is high, factory output is immense and corporate profits are up 62% year after year.  Over a billion people are transitioning from a farm-based Communist economy into the 21st Century!

Martin Weiss recently reported on Beijing’s plans to invest $1.1 trillion of reserves into other things besides U.S. bonds. Even if they only invest one-third of that money, it’s already 21 times more money combined than what is now being invested into China by all the worlds mutual funds and ETFs together. China focused ETFs include PowerShares Golden Dragon Halter USX China Portfolio (PGJ) up 13.3% over the past month and iShares FTSE/Xinhua China (FXI) up 16.6%.

Chinesecharts

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  • Once again, thanks for focusing on this trend to invest in China.

    One cautionary note: just how long can China grow at 10% a year? My research shows two looming issues - 40 million more men than women and a gigantic pollution problem.

    By 2008, I would seriously consider shorting CHINA!
  • Tom Lydon
    Great points Dave. We wouldn't consider shorting unless the ETF declined below its 200-day moving average.
  • It's interesting to look back on this article now. The World Bank is forecasting growth for china of about 6% versus -1.5% globally.. meanwhile the government is still adamant they can reach the 8% target... I wouldn't say there is decoupling or whatever but China certainly has positioned itself well in the current environment and I agree with that Hong Kong billionaire who said that's where the recovery will be the fastest...
  • And I should mention that a good source for daily economic updates on the Chinese economy is www.chinaeconomicscan.com - well worth a look
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